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贵金属锭

贵金属简讯

  • Edition 1- 14 Januar 2019

贵金属季节性表现价格通常在第一季度上涨

第一季度通常是所有贵金属价格的强势期。2019年会重复这一趋势吗?下面简述预测:

黄金和白银近期价格有上升空间,本月价格几乎没有变动。最近10年,黄金价格平均在一年中的前几个月
上涨约5%,从12月开始复苏,持续到第一季度。人们有很多理由寻找安全投资,从全球股市震荡到美国
政府部分关门、法国“黄马甲运动”、经济增长减缓。白银平均在第一季度表现超过黄金。

铂金一月平均历史表现最好,虽然其他贵金属第一季度更强势。即使今年需求预计不会比2018年增长很多,市
场做空过多,价格有和其他金属一起上涨的可能性。

钯金价格非常瞩目,现在处于历史高点,1月已经上涨6%,通常1月上涨3%。然而,价格上升趋势可能持续,
因为供给紧张,租赁利率高,预计今年市场保持赤字。

铱是过去十年第一季度平均表现最好的贵金属。价格不立刻上涨,但季度末非常强势。钌一月价格回落,之
后上涨
,可能工业用户延长新年假期。铑第一季度表现和黄金类似,目前租赁利率高,表现出供给紧张,因
此一月初没有显著价格上涨的情况下之后很有可能上涨。

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